Intelligence · Real Estate · Investment

Why do two similar developments sell at different prices?

The feasibility study explains a development's cost. It does not explain its price. The difference between the two lies in attributes that no comparison table lists — and that the buyer prices anyway.

26.09.2026  ·  8 min read  ·  Lucas Albuquerque
Arbórea façade on Nove de Julho, São Paulo — pale stone and vegetation

Every developer has done the exercise. Their own launch side by side with the closest competitor: same neighborhood, same finish standard, similar floor areas, construction cost per square meter in the same range. The comparison table comes out almost identical. And months later the market answers with two prices that do not speak to each other — one launch sells out at full list price; the other sells at a discount and carries inventory. The table was not wrong. It was incomplete.

The price gap between similar developments is the share of value that is not in the cost. Land, design and construction form the floor of the price; what the buyer pays above it depends on attributes the comparison table does not record — what the asset is compared against, how much supply will exist, who signs the product, which number the market saw first and what the building will be ten years from now.

What the spreadsheet explains — and what it does not

Feasibility is a supply-side document. It answers how much it costs to produce and how much must be sold to remunerate capital. Price, however, is formed on the demand side, and demand does not buy cost: it buys a bundle of attributes. Economics has had a name for this since the 1970s — hedonic prices, the idea that the price of a differentiated good is the implicit sum of the value the market assigns to each of its characteristics.

The practical consequence is direct. When two developments share the same visible attributes and carry different prices, the difference lies in attributes no one put in the table. They exist, the buyer reads them and they have a price. They simply have not been named. Naming them is the first step to deciding on them — and that is the work Incora describes as perceived value engineering.

Five sources of the gap

  1. 01The comparison benchmark. What the buyer compares the asset against: the neighbor's square meter, another form of investment or an equivalent address in another city. Whoever sets the benchmark sets the ceiling.
  2. 02Declared scarcity. How many units exist and, above all, what will not be built. Rarity announced and kept is priced; accidental rarity is not.
  3. 03Authorship. Who signs architecture, landscape, interiors and service — and what that signature guarantees about an execution the buyer cannot yet see.
  4. 04The anchor. The first number the market encounters. The launch price list does not describe the asset's value; it anchors it.
  5. 05Predictability. What the building will be after delivery: governance, maintenance, service, renovation standards. It is what sustains resale price.

The comparison benchmark — the v3rso case

The most underestimated source is the first. Two products at the same address can be compared against different benchmarks — and, when that happens, they stop competing for the same price.

v3rso tailored by Emiliano sits inside Parque Global, a R$ 14.2 billion GSV complex with several residential towers. Presented as one more apartment in the complex, it would have been compared with the neighboring towers, square meter against square meter. Incora positioned it differently: as a financial instrument with real estate backing, operated by Grupo Emiliano in a hybrid residence-and-hotel model. The buyer started comparing v3rso with other uses of capital — income, liquidity, the security of the underlying asset — and not with the floor plan next door.

A change of benchmark only holds if it can be verified. The thesis was validated by research commissioned from Brain Inteligência Estratégica, which identified three independent vectors of hotel demand in the area: medical tourism, linked to Albert Einstein Hospital; business and events tourism; and social tourism. The result was a price of R$ 40,000 per square meter and 100% of residential units sold at pre-launch, before construction began.

Scarcity and authorship — the Arbórea case

Arbórea, by Bueno Netto · Benx, shows the second and third sources working together. When the brand was structured from the first building in Itaim, its principles were fixed as a rule: signed architecture, protected permanent view, low density, integration with nature, art curation. Each new address was then decided against that rule, not against what the plot would allow to be built.

At Arbórea Vista Jardim Europa, that meant 30 units, architecture by Jacobsen and landscape by Alex Hanazaki — a scarcity decision and an authorship decision taken before price. The development reached R$ 50,000 per square meter. The buyer was not paying for floor area alone: they were paying for the guarantee that the product would be rare and that its execution would be the responsibility of names the city recognizes.

The anchor — why the first number matters

The fourth source is the least discussed in the Brazilian market and one of the best documented by behavioral research. In a classic study published in 1987, Gregory Northcraft and Margaret Neale took students and real estate agents to visit the same house. Each group received a different listing price. The value estimates everyone made afterwards shifted toward the price they had been given — including those of the agents, most of whom said they had not considered the listing price.

For the developer, the lesson has two sides. First: the launch price list is not neutral; it sets the reference against which everything else will be judged. Second: an anchor only works if it is credible. A high price without the attributes that justify it does not anchor — it is discounted, and the discount becomes the new anchor. Positioning, in this sense, is the work of making the first number defensible.

— International perspective

What hedonic price theory explains — and where it stops

In 1974, Sherwin Rosen formalized hedonic price theory in the Journal of Political Economy: in markets for differentiated products, the observed price can be decomposed into the implicit prices of each characteristic. The model has since become one of the most widely used tools to explain real estate prices — area, location, view, floor, building age, each attribute with its estimated weight.

The model's limit is also its lesson. It measures the value of the attributes someone decided to observe. Comparison benchmark, declared scarcity, authorship, anchor and predictability rarely enter the regressions, because they are hard to code — and that is precisely why they explain the gap between products that, on the observed variables, look identical. What is not in the model does not lack a price. It simply has not been decided by anyone.

References: Rosen, S. (1974). Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition. Journal of Political Economy, 82(1). Northcraft, G. B. & Neale, M. A. (1987). Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 39(1).

Practical implications

Choose the benchmark before the price. Before setting the price list, decide what the product wants to be compared against. If the answer is "against the neighbor", the ceiling is already set. If it is something else, it must be sustained by product, research and narrative.

Audit the invisible attributes. The comparison table needs a second column: declared scarcity, authorship, post-delivery governance, comparison benchmark. That is where the price gap usually shows up — or its absence.

Protect the anchor. A launch discount is not only lost margin. It is the publication of a new value reference, which the market will use for every subsequent unit — and for resale.

What remains

Two similar developments sell at different prices because, to the buyer, they are not similar. The similarity is in the spreadsheet; the difference is in the attributes no one wrote down. The question for those who develop is not whether these attributes exist, but whether they will be decided by the project — or left to the chance of the launch.

Why do similar developments have different prices?

Because price is formed by demand, which prices attributes the comparison table does not list: what the asset is compared against, declared scarcity, the project's authorship, the first price the market saw and the building's predictability after delivery. When visible attributes are equal, the gap lies in these.

Does construction cost set a development's price?

No. Land, design and construction set the floor — the minimum price that remunerates capital. How much the market accepts to pay above that floor depends on perceived value, built through product, scarcity, curation, governance and commercial decisions.

What is hedonic pricing in real estate?

The decomposition of a property's price into the implicit value of each characteristic — area, location, view, floor, age. The theory was formalized by Sherwin Rosen in 1974. It explains observed attributes well but rarely captures scarcity, authorship, price anchoring and governance.

Does the launch price list affect perceived value?

Yes. Northcraft and Neale (1987) showed that estimates of the same property shift toward the listed price, even among experienced agents. The price list works as an anchor — as long as it is credible. A price without attributes to sustain it is discounted, and the discount becomes the new anchor.

— New mandate

If you are structuring a development, destination or high-value asset, present the context to Incora.